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A senator wishes to estimate the proportion of United States voters who favor

abolishing the Electoral College. How large a sample is needed in order to be 90%

confident that the sample proportion will not differ from the true proportion by more

than 3%?

Answer :

Answer:

[tex]n=\frac{0.5(1-0.5)}{(\frac{0.03}{1.64})^2}=747.11[/tex]  

And rounded up we have that n=748

Step-by-step explanation:

The confidence level is 90% and the significance level would be [tex]\alpha=1-0.9=0.1[/tex] and [tex]\alpha/2 =0.05[/tex] and the critical value for this case is:

[tex] z_{\alpha/2}= 1.64[/tex]

The margin of error for the proportion interval is given by this formula:  

[tex] ME=z_{\alpha/2}\sqrt{\frac{\hat p (1-\hat p)}{n}}[/tex]    (a)  

And on this case we want a margin of error of [tex]ME =\pm 0.03[/tex] and we are interested in order to find the value of n, if we solve n from equation (a) we got:  

[tex]n=\frac{\hat p (1-\hat p)}{(\frac{ME}{z})^2}[/tex]   (b)  

Since we don't hace any prior info for the population proportion we can use [tex]\hat p =0.5[/tex]. And replacing into equation (b) the values from part a we got:

[tex]n=\frac{0.5(1-0.5)}{(\frac{0.03}{1.64})^2}=747.11[/tex]  

And rounded up we have that n=748

fichoh

Using the sample size formula, the required number of sample is 752.

Using the confidence interval relation :

  • [tex] n = \frac{pq}{(\frac{E}{Z_{crit}})^{2}} [/tex]

  • p =sample proportion = 0.5
  • q = 1 - p = 1 - 0.5 = 0.5
  • Zcrit at 90% = 1.645
  • E = Error Margin = 3% = 0.03

Substituting the values into the equation :

n = [tex] \frac{0.5 \times 0.5}{(\frac{0.03}{1.645})^{2} }[/tex]

[tex] n = \frac{0.25}{0.0003325}[/tex]

[tex] n = 751.67[/tex]

Therefore, the required number of sample is 752.

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