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In a certain area an average of 13 new swarms of honeybees are seen each spring. If the number of swarms stays constant each year, what is the probability of observing between 9 and 15 (inclusive) swarms?

Answer :

Answer:

The probability of observing between 9 and 15 (inclusive) swarms is 0.6639.

Step-by-step explanation:

The random variable X can be defined as the number of swarms of honeybees seen each spring.

The average value of the random variable X is, λ = 13.

A random variable representing the occurrence of events in a fixed interval of time is known as Poisson random variables.

For example, the number of customers visiting the bank in an hour or the number of typographical error is a book every 10 pages.

So, the random variable X follows a Poisson distribution with parameter λ = 13.

The probability mass function of X is as follows:

[tex]P(X=x)=\frac{e^{-\lambda}\ \lambda^{x}}{x!}; x=0,1,2,3...[/tex]

Compute the  the probability of observing between 9 and 15 (inclusive) swarms as follows:

P (9 ≤ X ≤ 15) = P (X = 9) + P (X = 10) + P (X = 11) + ... + P (X = 15)

                      [tex]=\sum\limits^{15}_{x=9}{\frac{e^{-\lambda}\ \lambda^{x}}{x!}}\\\\=0.06605+0.08587+0.10148+0.10994\\+0.10994+0.10209+0.08848\\\\=0.66385\\\\\approx 0.6639[/tex]

Thus, the probability of observing between 9 and 15 (inclusive) swarms is 0.6639.

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