a student either knows the answer or guesses. Let 3434 be the probability that he knows the answer and 1414 be the probability that he guesses. Assuming that a student who guesses at the answer will be correct with probability 1414 . What is the probability that the student knows the answer given that he answered it correctly?

Answer :

JeanaShupp

Answer:    [tex]\dfrac{12}{13}[/tex]

Step-by-step explanation:

Let A = he known the answer then A' = he guess the answer.

B = he answered it correctly

As per given , we have

[tex]P(A)=\dfrac{3}{4}\ \ ,\ \ P(A')=\dfrac{1}{4}[/tex]

[tex]P(B|A)=1[/tex]

[tex]P(B|A')=\dfrac{1}{4}[/tex]

By Bayes theorem , we have

[tex]P(A|B)=\dfrac{P(B|A)P(A)}{P(B|A)P(A)+P(B|A')P(A')}\\\\ P(A|B)=\dfrac{1\times\dfrac{3}{4}}{1\times\dfrac{3}{4}+\dfrac{1}{4}\times\dfrac{1}{4}}\\\\= \dfrac{12}{13}[/tex]

The probability that the student knows the answer given that he answered it correctly is  [tex]\dfrac{12}{13}[/tex] .

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